Scenario Testing — Monte Carlo Comparison
Real data from 30-seed Monte Carlo simulations • Median (P50) values shown • 300 total runs
Worst Min Service Level
50.8%
Avg Peak Stockouts
156
Avg Recovery Week
18.3
Service Level by Scenario (AI-Enabled)
Inventory by Scenario (AI-Enabled)
AI Advantage (SL Difference: AI minus No-AI)
Scenario Summary (Monte Carlo Averages)
| Scenario | Config | Avg SL | Min SL | Terminal SL | Stockouts | Spoilage | Compliance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| India Ban | AI-Enabled | 80.6% | 55.7% | 89.1% | 179 | 409 | 48 |
| No-AI | 79.4% | 53.0% | 87.3% | 182 | 10468 | 346 | |
| China Lockdown | AI-Enabled | 80.8% | 50.8% | 89.3% | 149 | 413 | 46 |
| No-AI | 79.1% | 48.6% | 86.9% | 152 | 8781 | 370 | |
| Hurricane | AI-Enabled | 88.3% | 58.1% | 89.4% | 170 | 446 | 61 |
| No-AI | 86.6% | 53.1% | 87.1% | 174 | 7148 | 361 | |
| Cyber Attack | AI-Enabled | 93.7% | 88.5% | 89.4% | 146 | 467 | 44 |
| No-AI | 92.5% | 81.8% | 88.0% | 157 | 7873 | 371 | |
| Quality Crisis | AI-Enabled | 77.1% | 59.5% | 68.3% | 137 | 448 | 46 |
| No-AI | 75.6% | 53.2% | 65.6% | 141 | 8401 | 365 |