Supply Chain Flow
6-tier agent-based model with AI intervention points and scenario-specific disruptions
Supply Chain Architecture
AI detects demand signals
Tier 3
Raw Materials
Chemical compounds, Solvents, Excipients
CN, IN, BR
10 agents
4 weeks
Tier 2
API Manufacturing
Active Pharmaceutical Ingredients
IN, CN, IL
15 agents
3 weeks
Tier 1
Formulation
Finished dosage forms
IN, IE, US, CH, DE
5 agents
2 weeks
AI adjusts reorder points
Manufacturing
Batch processing, Quality control
US, IE, CH
3 agents
AI rebalances inventory
Distribution
Cold chain logistics
Regional hubs
6 agents
Pharmacy
Patient demand fulfillment
Local
20 agents
Scenario Lead Time Multipliers
| Scenario | Severity | Start | Duration | T3 Raw | T2 API | T1 Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| India API Export Ban | High | Wk 4 | 20 wks | 2.0x | 2.5x | 1.3x |
| China Raw Material Lockdown | High | Wk 14 | 14 wks | 3.0x | 1.8x | 1.5x |
| US Hurricane | Medium | Wk 8 | 8 wks | 1.0x | 1.0x | 1.3x |
| Cyber Attack | Low | Wk 2 | 4 wks | 1.0x | 1.0x | 1.1x |
| Quality Crisis | Extended | Wk 20 | 24 wks | 1.2x | 2.0x | 1.5x |